Current geopolitical risks and a shift towards risk aversion have put short-term pressure on TRUST, with major funds yet to enter significantly. In the mid-term, structural opportunities arise from asset differentiation driven by regulatory compliance and infrastructure upgrades. TRUST features innovations in trust mechanisms and ecosystem potential, and is expected to benefit from industry-wide capital allocation. Technically, 0.072 is the watershed between bulls and bears; loss of this level may test the 0.069–0.064 range, while a strong breakout above 0.080 could open up rebound potential. It is advised to manage positions in phases, focus on market sentiment and institutional capital flows, and wait for confirmation of trends with volume support.

Recently, the spike in oil prices and heightened geopolitical tensions caused by the Strait of Hormuz blockade have led to a clear decline in global risk appetite. Traditional safe-haven demand has pushed up the US dollar index, US stock futures are under pressure, and the crypto market is also experiencing sell-off reactions. Although Bitcoin saw a slight rebound during Asian trading hours, buying strength mainly came from spot markets, while derivatives continue to show negative funding rates and declining positions, reflecting a cautious market. In this environment, investors are more conservative with highly volatile assets, and capital driven by short-term sentiment may continue to avoid small or mid-cap tokens with relatively lower liquidity. TRUST has faced some sell-side pressure during major market pullbacks.

Due to Trump's order to blockade the Strait of Hormuz, oil prices surged, US stock futures fell, and the dollar strengthened. This escalation followed failed US-Iran talks in Pakistan, disappointing investors. Elias Haddad from Brown Brothers Harriman noted this will likely reignite risk aversion this week. Investors are also focused on the upcoming Q1 earnings season, seeking corporate leaders' views on rising risks.

Earnings season intertwined with geopolitical crises, market risk aversion reignites.

Bitcoin rose to around $74,935 during the Asian session, up 0.7% in 24 hours and 5.4% weekly, driven mainly by spot buying rather than broad risk appetite. Derivatives markets show caution: perpetual contract funding rates remain negative, open interest declines, and options indicate higher demand for downside protection. This suggests a rebound, not a trend reversal, amid ongoing risk aversion and cautious sentiment despite gains.

Analysis: Bitcoin strengthens along with US stocks, but the options market still bets on downside risk.

As macro risk expectations ease, leading indices and top crypto assets have seen phased rebounds. Institutional capital is accelerating its allocation to Bitcoin, with spot ETFs attracting significant inflows. While market sentiment remains cautious, from both regulatory and technical perspectives, network upgrades and progress in stablecoin licensing globally are creating structural opportunities for infrastructure projects. Previous fundraising activities have focused on foundational networks and early-stage innovation, indicating a tilt toward assets with long-term value and compliance advantages. Against this backdrop, although TRUST is not yet a mainstream allocation target, growing asset differentiation and benefits for core infrastructure suggest it may, in the future, attract attention from institutions and industry capital due to its unique project features.

Gate Ventures reports a phase of market rebound driven by easing macro risks, with major indices and cryptocurrencies like BTC and ETH showing gains alongside net inflows into spot ETFs. Despite this, market sentiment remains extremely fearful, and capital return is cautious. Structural opportunities arise from network upgrades and regulatory progress, such as Hong Kong's issuance of stablecoin licenses. Financing activity increased, focusing on infrastructure and early-stage innovation, indicating ongoing market differentiation and a shift toward fundamentally and regulatorily supported assets.

Gate Ventures: Market Experiences Temporary Rebound but Divergence Continues, Capital Inflows and Structural Repair Proceed in Parallel

On April 14, with Hyperliquid holdings reaching a two-month high and renewed US-Iran negotiations boosting market optimism, Bitcoin led a strong crypto rebound. Institutions increased crypto positions: Matrixport's combined floating profit rose to $36.3 million with holdings of $335 million, and BlackRock withdrew 2,004 BTC worth $144.82 million from Coinbase. Analysts, citing cautious central bank signals, turned bullish on the crypto market.

Bullish Summary: Analysts Turn Bullish, Multiple Institutions Increase Crypto Holdings

BitMart Research Weekly highlights easing US-Iran tensions and a hawkish shift in the Federal Reserve, driving a rebound in risk assets including crypto. US stocks, especially AI-related sectors, show strong recovery amid geopolitical risks. Inflation data signals potential upward pressure if oil prices stay high. Crypto markets follow US stocks with BTC and ETH leading, while altcoins remain volatile. Institutional inflows into Bitcoin ETFs and MicroStrategy’s increased BTC holdings indicate long-term confidence.

BitMart Research Institute Weekly Hotspot Analysis: US-Iran Easing Combined with Fed's Hawkish Shift, Crypto Market Follows Rebound to Form a Bottom

In Q1 2026, the Ethereum to Bitcoin price ratio (ETH/BTC) rebounded to 0.0313, a three-month high, indicating a recovery in the crypto market. Ethereum network users grew 82% year-on-year to 284,000, with transaction volume reaching 200.4 million. Stablecoin supply exceeded $180 billion, about 60% of the global market. Analysts suggest that if ETH/BTC closes above 0.035 weekly, it signals continued inflows into Ethereum and high-risk assets. Bitcoin remains above $74,000, supported by over $56 billion inflows into US spot Bitcoin ETFs.

Analysis: Ethereum-Bitcoin price ratio rebounds, overall crypto market recovers

At Paris Blockchain Week, Bybit executives proposed that future financial infrastructure will center on trust and user experience, emphasizing the application of AI in automated trading and risk control, as well as the role of blockchain as the underlying architecture and stablecoins as a bridge for payments. As global regulatory frameworks gradually become clearer, the value of decentralized trust mechanisms is increasingly recognized by institutions. With its technological innovations and ecosystem design in trust mechanisms, TRUST could leverage the advantages of a newly regulated industry track and demonstrate strong long-term value.

At the 2026 Paris Blockchain Week, Bybit CEO Ben Zhou discussed the impact of AI and trust on financial infrastructure. He emphasized that the future financial system centers on trust and user experience rather than single technological breakthroughs. Bybit has introduced AI-powered trading agents for automated strategy execution. Zhou highlighted institutional adoption of blockchain as foundational infrastructure, the bridging role of stablecoins in payments, and clearer global regulations boosting participation. He also predicted that future financial services will become more seamless, with users unaware of blockchain technology in use.

On-site at Paris Blockchain Week: Bybit CEO Ben Zhou discusses the impact of AI and trust on financial infrastructure.

On the daily chart, TRUST has oscillated mainly in the 0.065–0.070 range since mid-March. On April 5, increased trading volume led to a brief breakout above 0.071; after a short-term spike to around 0.095 on April 15 amid broader market enthusiasm, it quickly retraced to the 0.079 level, with liquidity concentrated around the 0.072–0.080 watershed. In the short term, failure to hold 0.072 could risk a pullback to the 0.069–0.064 support zone; reclaiming volume and breaking above 0.080 would likely lead to sustained rebound momentum. Overall, TRUST remains in a consolidation and bottom-building phase, so it is important to monitor market sentiment and capital flows.

Intuition

It’s not a given that the European Central Bank’s next move on interest rates will be a hike, according to Governing Council member Martins Kazaks.

Kazaks: Will not oppose bets on two interest rate hikes this year

Waller: Rapid resolution of the Middle East situation may allow for interest rate cuts later this year.

Waller: Overall PCE inflation year-over-year in March may reach 3.5%

The Federal Reserve's Waller expressed caution regarding interest rates, warning of the risks of prolonged warfare.

Fed's Daly: Rates May Remain Unchanged

Daly: The federal funds rate is slightly above the neutral level of 3%.

UBS Expects 50 bps Fed Rate Cuts as Gov Miran Downplays Inflation Risks

Federal Reserve's Daly: On hold regarding interest rates.

Easing tensions in the Middle East combined with rising expectations of interest rate cuts have pushed gold close to $4,900.

Bybit

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Intuition Price: TRUST Live Price Today | TRUST Market Cap & Chart Analysis | Bybit

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TRUST price today is 0.07, with a live price change of 0.27 in the last 24 hours. Convert, buy, sell and trade TRUST on Bybit.

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