Ethereum currently has significant structural support, with continuous net inflows into ETFs highlighting its long-term allocation value. However, in the short term, there are risks associated with upcoming options expirations and concentrated leverage liquidations. A break below $2,200 could trigger large-scale long liquidations. Technically, there is repeated contest in the $2,300–$2,400 range; only a breakout above $2,400 would open up further upside. It is recommended to maintain flexible positions, monitor derivative holdings closely, and guard against sudden risks amid sharp volatility.

Since mid-April, Ethereum's price has fluctuated within the $2,250–$2,350 range, showing a slight upward trend overall. Meanwhile, both off-chain and on-chain institutional funds have continued to flow in. Yesterday, the Ethereum spot ETF recorded a net inflow of $101 million in a single day, pushing the total scale to around $13.6 billion, with over $12 billion absorbed cumulatively. Although the Coinbase premium index recently turned negative, indicating short-term competition among US institutions, the large and persistent net purchases of ETFs illustrate mid-to-long term value recognition, providing clear support for the market bottom.

Yesterday, Ethereum spot ETFs experienced a total net inflow of $101 million. Fidelity's FETH led with a $49.39 million single-day net inflow, bringing its total historical net inflow to $2.29 billion. Blackrock's ETHA followed with a $43.16 million inflow, though it has a total historical net outflow of $100 million. The total net asset value of Ethereum spot ETFs stands at $13.60 billion, with an ETF net asset ratio of 4.93% and cumulative net inflows of $12.02 billion.

Yesterday, Ethereum spot ETFs saw a total net inflow of $101.00 million, with Fidelity's FETH leading with a net inflow of $49.3942 million.

Bitcoin spot ETFs saw a net inflow of $630 million yesterday, led by BlackRock's IBIT with $284 million. Ethereum spot ETFs had a $101 million net inflow, led by Fidelity's FETH with $49.39 million. Trump compared the US blockade of Iranian ports to piracy, calling it a "very profitable business." uPEG's market cap briefly surpassed $22 million with a 99% daily increase. US crypto stocks rose, with CRCL up over 9.7%. Polymarket raised the probability of the CLARITY Act taking effect in 2026 to 67%. MN Trading Capital's founder said Bitcoin could return to $100,000 without new narratives. A whale withdrew 1,051 BTC (~$82.35 million) from Binance two hours ago. UK Reform Party leader Farage faces conflict of interest allegations after receiving £5 million and promoting crypto tax cuts.

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Ethereum starts May around $2.3k, consolidating below the $2.4k resistance after multiple rejections. The Coinbase Premium Index has turned negative as ETH stalled, raising doubts about sustained US institutional demand. The daily chart shows an ascending channel with support near $2k and resistance at $2.4k. A break above $2.4k could target $2.8k, while a drop below $2k risks further decline. Market caution persists amid macroeconomic uncertainties.

Ethereum Price Analysis: Is ETH Doomed in May as Key Metric Turns Negative?

Around $400 million worth of Ethereum options are expiring this week, with the current price near $2,347, close to the options’ maximum pain point and the main long liquidation range. On-chain data shows that a break below the $2,190–$2,207 mark could trigger long liquidations amounting between $60 million and $887 million. Conversely, a breakout above the $2,416–$2,435 resistance zone could prompt short liquidations of $562 million to $1.078 billion. Considering trading volume tends to spike at critical thresholds, sharp volatility may occur in the short term. Investors should remain alert to sudden risks brought by concentrated leverage liquidations.

Bitcoin is trading below the short-term holder cost basis of $78,900 ahead of a $1.74 billion options expiry on Deribit, with a put-call ratio of 1.10 indicating bearish sentiment. The max pain price is $76,000, near current trading levels. Ethereum faces similar pressure with options worth $400 million expiring and trading below its max pain price of $2,325. Broader market concerns, including high US inflation and geopolitical tensions, are contributing to cautious trading.

Bitcoin Slips Below Key Holder Cost Basis Ahead Of $1.74B Options Expiry

According to ChainCatcher and Coinglass data, if ETH falls below $2,190, the total long position liquidation on major centralized exchanges (CEX) will reach $864 million. Conversely, if ETH breaks above $2,416, the total short position liquidation on major CEX will reach $802 million.

Data: If ETH falls below $2,190, the total liquidation intensity of long positions on major CEXs will reach $864 million.

According to ChainCatcher citing Coinglass data, if ETH falls below $2,207, the total long position liquidations on major centralized exchanges (CEX) will reach $600 million. Conversely, if ETH surpasses $2,424, the total short position liquidations on major CEXs will reach $562 million.

Data: If ETH falls below $2,207, the total long liquidation pressure on major CEXs will reach $600 million.

On the daily chart, Ethereum rebounded from the April 5 low of $2,065, quickly surging to $2,415 on April 14, and then settled into a consolidation between $2,300 and $2,400. Over the past ten-plus days, the price has repeatedly tested the resistance near $2,300 before pulling back, while support in the $2,000–$2,200 zone remains intact. Trading volume has shrunk at higher levels, indicating significant disagreement between bulls and bears at the resistance. In the short-to-medium term, a decisive breakout above $2,400 with increased volume could open a path toward $2,800, whereas a drop below the $2,000 support may accelerate a descent to around $1,900.

XRP shows early weakness with a mini-death cross signaling potential further decline, struggling to hold above $1.40 amid low volume and resistance near $1.45-$1.50. Shiba Inu attempts stabilization within a weak ascending channel but faces strong resistance at the 100 EMA and lacks breakout momentum. Ethereum is defending the $2,000 support after a multi-month drop, but resistance near $2,300-$2,400 and subdued volume suggest the recovery is fragile and a retest of lower levels remains possible.

XRP's Mini-Death Cross Hints at Dive Down, Shiba Inu (SHIB) Breakout Looks Bleak, Is Ethereum's (ETH) $2,000 Saved? Crypto Market Review

Ethereum has recovered over 30% from its February lows, holding above $2,250, yet many investors remain unconvinced, maintaining aggressive short positions. Funding rates on Binance have stayed persistently negative for a month, a pattern last seen during the 2022 FTX collapse at the bear market's end. This dynamic, combined with rising short liquidations, suggests potential for a self-reinforcing recovery. However, Ethereum faces resistance near $2,350–$2,450, with momentum stalling and volume indicating hesitation.

Ethereum Is Up 30% But Shorts Refuse to Let Go – The Last Time This Setup Didn’t End Quietly

CryptoQuant’s exchange supply ratio indicator has declined, reflecting a decrease in sellable assets on the market, which would typically signal a price bottom. However, prices have not fallen significantly, indicating that long positions in derivatives have used leverage to delay the natural correction process. This disconnect between declining on-chain supply and price action might lead to irrational surges or drops if market sentiment shifts or large-scale liquidations are triggered. Close attention should be paid to changes in derivative positions and funding rates.

Ethereum's price has surged over 25% since late March, testing key resistance levels. However, a CryptoQuant analyst highlights a divergence in the Exchange Supply Ratio, an on-chain metric that tracks exchange supply and market behavior. Historically, a drop in this ratio signals a price bottom, but Ethereum's price has not yet declined accordingly. The analyst suggests that derivatives may be delaying the expected price correction, which is likely still forthcoming despite the recent rally.

'Ethereum’s Price Should Have Dropped Already' – Analyst Explains The On-Chain Signal Behind The Warning

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