BSV is currently in a rebound channel after a stage of bottoming. In the short term, it is restricted by resistance at $17, with key support focused on the $14–15 range. Bearish sentiment is dominant in the derivatives market, and the decline in mainstream leverage makes the price extremely sensitive to changes in funding flows. It is recommended to pay close attention to external liquidity and capital trend reversals. In the medium to long term, incremental ETF funds and positive Bitcoin spillover effects provide support. If BSV stays above $15.5, the rebound trend is likely to continue. Overall, dynamic position management, stop-loss settings, and caution toward unexpected impacts from Fed policy changes or regulatory risks are advised.

Recent crypto derivatives data shows that bearish sentiment prevails among market participants, with the 30-day open interest indicator turning from positive to negative, continuously squeezing out longs. Bitcoin futures open interest has shrunk to half its level at the end of last year, and the significant decline in market leverage has made prices more sensitive to capital inflows. In addition, both average realized profits and losses remain low during this period, indicating a shift toward cautious investor sentiment and limited short-term opportunities. Overall, high-frequency capital competition in the derivatives market has intensified short-term price volatility; therefore, it is advised to monitor capital trend reversal signals to avoid idiosyncratic risks.

CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr reports that Bitcoin's derivatives market is dominated by short positions, with the 30-day moving average of the Bitcoin position index falling from +3.0 to -3.1 since mid-March, reflecting growing short accumulation and a weakening market structure. Liquidation oscillation has risen to 18.6%, indicating ongoing forced liquidations of long positions. The market shows no signs of a bullish reversal, suggesting continued downside risk and advising risk avoidance.

Analyst: Bitcoin derivatives market dominated by shorts, bulls continue to face liquidation pressure.

Bitcoin futures open interest has halved from $42 billion in October 2025 to $21 billion, indicating a deep market deleveraging. Current low leverage means even small capital inflows can significantly impact prices. Funding rates have fluctuated sharply between -12% and +7%, showing rapid shifts in market sentiment. Despite ongoing geopolitical tensions, no major liquidations have occurred since early February, reflecting a healthier position structure. Bitcoin awaits a clear directional trend amid heightened market sensitivity.

Analysis: The market has undergone a round of deep deleveraging, and Bitcoin is waiting to choose a direction.

Chain analyst Murphy noted that during the recent Bitcoin rebound to $71,000–$72,000, the average realized profit in the past 24 hours was about $18.79 million, much lower than previous rebounds. Short-term holders' average realized loss was only about $6.06 million, a very low level recently. Overall, investor sentiment is gradually stabilizing, with less panic than in February, indicating expectations for further price gains but advising caution due to limited short-term opportunities.

Analysis: The scale of profit-taking in this round of Bitcoin rebound is limited, and market investor sentiment is gradually stabilizing.

Bitcoin has entered a typical divide between profit and loss during a bear market, resulting in both undervaluation and temporary pressure expectations in the market. The key US Dollar Index continues to influence Bitcoin; if the dollar falls back next year or beyond, it could provide more upside room for crypto assets. Over the long cycle, Bitcoin has established significant liquidity support in the $63,000–$70,000 range. If this level breaks to the downside, it may trigger brief liquidity gaps. The recent easing in geopolitical tensions has fueled a risk-on rally in major assets. BSV is also expected to benefit from the overall revival in Bitcoin sentiment.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfrost reports Bitcoin's profitable supply is about 11.2 million and loss supply about 8.2 million, nearing typical bear market levels, suggesting the market may be undervalued and a bottom approaching. However, Bitrue's Andri Fauzan Adziima argues this indicates rising market pressure, not immediate undervaluation, as deeper losses are needed for a true bottom. Analyst Timothy Peterson notes a strong dollar and weak yuan limit Bitcoin's rebound, with dollar strength expected to ease only by late 2026 or 2027.

Analyst: Bitcoin profit and loss supply approaching "real bear market" levels

Analyst Ali highlights a key "value range" for Bitcoin between $63,111 and $70,685, where significant holdings create strong support. Falling below $63,111 may lead to a liquidity void. Bitcoin is also nearing a crucial decade-long upward trend line around $56,000–$60,000, historically a buildup phase before major rallies. Current volatility could represent a generational entry opportunity based on long-term trends and on-chain liquidity.

Analyst: Key "value range" for Bitcoin emerges, current volatility may present a cycle-level entry opportunity.

After forming a bottom near $13.4 at the end of March, BSV began a gap-up rally with matching volume in early April. On April 4, the price peaked at $16.999, posting a single-day gain of over 11%. The surge in trading volume and active long entries indicate strong bullish momentum. Subsequently, the price met sell pressure at the $17 level, establishing short-term resistance, while the $15 line and the $14 platform provide key support below. Technically, medium- and short-term moving averages maintain a bullish alignment. If BSV can stably hold above $15.5, the probability of sustaining the upward trajectory is high.

On April 4, among the top 100 cryptocurrencies by market cap, DeXe (DEXE) led gains with an 11.11% rise to $9.01, followed by VeChain, Bitcoin SV, PancakeSwap, and Zcash. The biggest losers included Midnight (NIGHT), which dropped 3.72% to $0.04253, along with Worldcoin, Bittensor, Quant, and Pepe.

Top 100 cryptocurrency market cap tokens today: DEXE up 11.11%, NIGHT down 3.72%

Market demand for high-strike Bitcoin call options has surged, reflecting optimistic expectations for further upside. Continued inflows into ETFs and institutional allocation trends provide fundamental support for risk assets. If the macro environment remains favorable, BSV and other major altcoins may experience secondary acceleration. However, caution is needed regarding uncertainties stemming from the Fed’s monetary policy shifts, renewed geopolitical tensions, or changes in crypto regulations. Mitigating these risks requires strict stop-loss enforcement and sound position management.

Bitcoin call options with an $80,000 strike price on Deribit have surged to over $1.6 billion in open interest, surpassing $1.41 billion in $60,000 put options, signaling a market shift amid improving sentiment. Analysts link this to a temporary US-Iran ceasefire easing oil prices and inflation concerns, boosting expectations for Fed rate cuts and benefiting risk assets like Bitcoin. Asset manager 21Shares notes that with ongoing ETF inflows and institutional holdings, Bitcoin could approach $100,000 by Q2 end if geopolitical and regulatory conditions improve, though risks remain if Middle East tensions escalate.

Analysis: Bitcoin $80K call options open interest exceeds $1.6 billion, market bets on a rally driven by a combination of trend reversal and rate cut expectations.

Bitcoin SV

Digital Assets Gain; Core Inflation Data Surprises to the Downside

The war in Iran has fueled the biggest jump in US inflation in nearly four years and sent consumer sentiment tumbling to a record low. Economists say that’s just the beginning.

Can XRP Break $1.35? Price Shrugs off Energy Spikes as Fresh US Inflation Report Offers Brief Relief

US–Iran talks in Pakistan hand crypto a fragile off-ramp

Trump said that if an agreement is not reached, military strikes against Iran will be intensified.

Europe Braces for a Spike in Inflation

Crypto Market Advances; US Regulators Convene Banks on AI Cyber Threat

JPY: Neutral rate debate supports gradual gains – Commerzbank

Analysis: Bitcoin surged to $73K after the CPI release, with the market focusing on whether it can retest the high range.

US: Energy shock complicates Fed path – Commerzbank

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Bitcoin SV Price: BSV Live Price Today | BSV Market Cap & Chart Analysis | Bybit

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BSV price today is 16.02, with a live price change of -0.60 in the last 24 hours. Convert, buy, sell and trade BSV on Bybit.

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