After experiencing intense, sentiment-driven volatility in the short term, Token B is currently consolidating in the $0.10–$0.112 range with shrinking trading volumes, indicating rising market wait-and-see sentiment. The $0.10 level is a key psychological support, while $0.12–$0.13 acts as major resistance. If Bitcoin can break out and stabilize above $75,000, it may trigger renewed upward momentum in B. Otherwise, B may continue sideways in a narrow range. Investors are advised to closely monitor Bitcoin's key levels, strictly control position size, and flexibly adjust trading strategies according to individual risk tolerance.

On April 13, Token B rallied sharply from $0.1623 to above $0.191 intraday, closing at $0.18424 with a daily gain of approximately 13.6%. Trading volume soared to 4.31 million, indicating rapid capital inflow. On the news front, the Federal Reserve sent hawkish signals and easing tensions between the US and Iran boosted market risk appetite. Meanwhile, Bitcoin broke out to a four-week high, leading a broad rebound in risk assets. Technically, the daily MACD indicator approached a bullish crossover, and the RSI rebounded from oversold territory, signaling bulls regaining control. This rebound was primarily emotion-driven in the short term, exhibiting clear momentum-chasing characteristics.

Bitcoin has surpassed a four-week high, rising above $74,000. Analysts identify $75,000 as a critical "volatility release point," where price fluctuations may intensify due to negative gamma effects in the derivatives market. This level coincides with Bitcoin's 100-day moving average, previously a major resistance in January. Breaking above $75,000 could accelerate the uptrend, while a decline may increase downward pressure. The $80,000–$80,600 range marks a positive gamma zone with lower volatility, and the 200-day moving average at $87,519 serves as a long-term reference.

Analysis: Bitcoin breaks through a four-week high, key price range may intensify market volatility

BitMart Research Weekly highlights easing US-Iran tensions and a hawkish shift in the Federal Reserve, driving a rebound in risk assets including crypto. US stocks, especially AI-related sectors, show strong recovery amid geopolitical risks. Inflation data signals potential upward pressure if oil prices stay high. Crypto markets follow US stocks with BTC and ETH leading, while altcoins remain volatile. Institutional inflows into Bitcoin ETFs and MicroStrategy’s increased BTC holdings indicate long-term confidence.

BitMart Research Institute Weekly Hotspot Analysis: US-Iran Easing Combined with Fed's Hawkish Shift, Crypto Market Follows Rebound to Form a Bottom

On April 14, Token B briefly surged to $0.19115 before safe-haven sentiment triggered a rapid selloff to $0.10231, ending the day at $0.11268—a swing exceeding 45% with distinct long upper and lower shadows. This move reflected a confluence of heightened Gulf geopolitics risk aversion and negative gamma effects in Bitcoin derivatives. Initially, risk-on bulls drove prices higher, but a wave of profit-taking and safe-haven selling at the top led to a sharp pullback. These volatile swings highlight deep market disagreement, with short-term panic selling mixed with technical profit-taking.

Due to Trump's order to blockade the Strait of Hormuz, oil prices surged, US stock futures fell, and the dollar strengthened. This escalation followed failed US-Iran talks in Pakistan, disappointing investors. Elias Haddad from Brown Brothers Harriman noted this will likely reignite risk aversion this week. Investors are also focused on the upcoming Q1 earnings season, seeking corporate leaders' views on rising risks.

Earnings season intertwined with geopolitical crises, market risk aversion reignites.

Over the past three days, Token B has fluctuated narrowly between $0.100 and $0.112, with daily volume steadily shrinking, indicating the market is consolidating after prior excessive volatility. The $0.10 psychological level serves as support, while the $0.12–$0.13 area is the primary resistance zone. From a medium- to long-term perspective, whether Bitcoin can maintain above $75,000 will be the next key sentiment driver. If it breaks and holds, Token B could emerge from consolidation; if it fails, range-bound trading may persist. Participants should closely follow Bitcoin’s key levels and position according to their risk preferences.

Blocks

Why Kevin Warsh should become Bitcoin’s most impactful Fed chair yet

Bitcoin and Ethereum slide after Iran says Strait of Hormuz is shut

UBS Analysts Have Stated That They Expect the Fed to Cut Interest Rates Twice More This Year

It’s not a given that the European Central Bank’s next move on interest rates will be a hike, according to Governing Council member Martins Kazaks.

Kazaks: Will not oppose bets on two interest rate hikes this year

Waller: Rapid resolution of the Middle East situation may allow for interest rate cuts later this year.

Waller: Overall PCE inflation year-over-year in March may reach 3.5%

The Federal Reserve's Waller expressed caution regarding interest rates, warning of the risks of prolonged warfare.

Fed's Daly: Rates May Remain Unchanged

Trump: US-Iran talks progress as Iran suspends nuclear program

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