Due to rising inflation expectations and increased risk-aversion sentiment, BRETT is under short-term pressure and fluctuates around $0.00699. However, medium-term ETF net inflows and recovering risk appetite provide support against further downside. It is recommended to focus on the $0.00745–$0.00750 resistance range in the short term. If macro liquidity improves and market sentiment warms up, BRETT may break out from its consolidation range. Strategically, cautious dip-buying can be considered, while monitoring trading volume and macro variables.

Recently, Japan's March Corporate Services Price Index surged far beyond expectations, heightening market concerns over the Bank of Japan tightening its loose monetary policy. Meanwhile, geopolitical conflicts have disrupted oil transportation, causing WTI oil prices to surge by over 40%, and inflation expectations to remain elevated, limiting the Fed’s room for easing monetary policy. In such an environment where risk assets are under overall pressure, investors’ short-term risk-aversion sentiment has grown, with funds tending towards US dollars and hard assets, thereby exerting downward pressure on the crypto market, including BRETT.

BTC's upward momentum slowed near $77,800 after rising from $65,000, with ETH also declining about 0.8%. Market pressure stems from Japan's March corporate service price index rising 3.1% YoY, suggesting possible BOJ rate hikes and a stronger yen, which may trigger risk asset sell-offs. Additionally, ongoing Iran conflict disrupts oil transport, pushing WTI crude over 40% higher to $96/barrel, sustaining inflation concerns and limiting Fed rate cut prospects.

Analysis: BTC's upward momentum is hindered as Japanese inflation data and the Iran war trigger market risk aversion sentiment.

On April 24, the crypto market weakened with BTC hovering around $77,800, slowing its rise from $65,000. ETH fell about 0.8%, underperforming BTC. Market pressure stemmed from Japan's March corporate service price index rising 3.1%, exceeding expectations and signaling possible BOJ rate hikes, strengthening the yen and risking global asset sell-offs. Additionally, ongoing Iran conflict disrupted oil transport, pushing WTI crude over $96/barrel, raising inflation concerns and limiting Fed rate cut prospects.

Analysis: BTC's upward momentum is hindered as Japanese inflation data and the Iran conflict trigger market risk aversion.

As Asian markets rebounded significantly due to easing geopolitical tensions, leading stock indices in Japan and Korea reached new highs. Coupled with several consecutive weeks of large net inflows into US Spot Bitcoin ETFs, overall market risk appetite is being restored. Investors are hedging against inflation while starting to allocate high-risk assets, driving technical breakouts in the crypto market. Although short-term sentiment remains volatile, ETF inflows and positive technical signals provide liquidity support for BRETT’s medium-term bottom formation.

Bitcoin rose 2% to $7,910 and Ethereum 3% to $2,388 amid easing geopolitical tensions, boosting Asian markets with Japan's Nikkei 225 and South Korea's Kospi hitting record highs. The US spot Bitcoin ETF saw $823.7 million net inflows for the fourth consecutive week. The crypto fear and greed index improved from 29 (fear) to 47 (neutral). Analyst Dominick John attributes gains to ETF inflows, technical breakthroughs, and reduced risk aversion.

Analyst: Both the crypto market and Asian stock markets rise amid easing geopolitical tensions.

QCP Group reports BTC rose over 14% monthly amid geopolitical and security events affecting market sentiment. Following a shooting at a White House dinner targeting Trump, BTC briefly surged past $79,000 and ETH over $2,400, then retreated after Iran's foreign minister met Putin. Key resistance is near the $82,000 CME gap, with BTC perpetual funding rates negative. Market focus shifts to upcoming tech earnings and US economic data.

QCP: BTC monthly increase over 14%, geopolitical and security events disrupt market sentiment

Despite recent Bitcoin price gains, investors are increasingly betting on a price decline. Data from CEX.IO shows short sellers paying rates around 11%, peaking at 19%, the highest since early 2023. Concurrently, Bitcoin is undergoing one of its largest accumulation phases. The simultaneous rise in strong buying and short positions suggests potential significant price volatility, with the possibility of a short squeeze or a reverse shock. Bitcoin currently down 1.6% at $75,754.

Analysis: Bitcoin short positions surge, market prepares for significant volatility.

From the monthly candlestick chart perspective, BRETT started at $0.0061 in early April, surged to $0.0083, then retraced to the $0.0071–$0.0073 range. Currently, the price is effectively supported around $0.00699, with short-term resistance concentrated in the $0.00745–$0.00750 area. Trading volume peaked mid-month and has since returned to its average, indicating that the long-short struggle has entered a digestion and consolidation phase. If the macro environment improves and risk appetite continues to rise, it is likely to prompt a second effective breakout towards the upper end of the range.

Brett (ETH)

Tokyo’s key inflation gauge unexpectedly slowed and remained below the Bank of Japan’s target, supporting policymakers’ cautious approach toward resuming interest-rate hikes.

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BRETT price today is 0.01, with a live price change of -4.32 in the last 24 hours. Convert, buy, sell and trade BRETT on Bybit.

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