BUDDY market analysis indicates that the Federal Reserve may pause interest rate hikes, leading to a rebound in market risk appetite, and BUDDY is expected to benefit from improving sentiment. However, the rise in Bitcoin dominance and liquidity exhaustion have increased price pressure on small and mid-cap tokens, making short-term sell-off risks worth watching. For BUDDY to achieve a mid-term recovery, stablecoin inflows and the return of large capital inflows need to be monitored. Investors are advised to pay attention to US dollar fluctuations and the technical stabilization of Bitcoin to capture the next rebound opportunity.

**Fed Rate Hike Window May Be Closing, Risk Appetite Expected to Rebound**

- The US Dollar Index has remained at a three-week high recently, mainly due to easing geopolitical risks and Fed officials expressing the possibility of a rate cut in July.
- For the crypto market, a stabilized dollar does not mean immediate weakness in risk assets. On the contrary, rate cut expectations have resulted in a short-term market sentiment that is cautious but shows willingness to bottom out.
- As a small/mid-cap token, BUDDY is expected to be favored during the risk asset sentiment recovery phase, but attention should still be paid to potential short-term volatility caused by sudden USD pullbacks.

**Large-cap Coins Weakening, Liquidity Contraction Intensifies Price Divergence**

- Bitcoin’s market dominance has reached new highs, but key bear market indicators have sounded warnings, indicating that large holders may be gradually withdrawing.
- Stablecoin inflows are slowing and liquidity typically shrinks in summer, creating even greater price pressure and volatility for small/mid-cap tokens.
- BUDDY has recently come under downward pressure, so beware of persistent short-term selling; but if Bitcoin and ETH technically stabilize, secondary tokens may rebound by riding the trend.

**Bottom-finding Still Ongoing, Rebound Needs Volume Support**

- Swiss monitoring data reveals that the overall digital asset market has not yet reached its historical bottom range, with mainstream and most altcoins still under pressure.
- Although the market previously experienced an approximately 30% rebound, mainstream ETH and most tokens have not yet confirmed their bottoms.
- For BUDDY to break free from prolonged consolidation, it is necessary to observe the strength of stablecoin and large-capital inflows, which may provide a more solid mid-term recovery opportunity.

BUDDY

An increasingly fragile ceasefire between the US and Iran is returning the bond market’s focus to inflation and reinforcing expectations that interest rates will stay higher for longer.

Following the Failure of U.S.-Iran Peace Talks, Trump Announced That They Would Close the Strait of Hormuz: He Issued a Very Firm Statement

Oil futures up 7% on Hyperliquid as Trump orders Naval blockade of Hormuz

Bitcoin fell below $71K after Trump announced the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz.

The US Navy will “shortly” begin a blockade of ships entering and leaving the Strait of Hormuz, President Donald Trump said in a Truth Social post.

The US and Iran’s failure to strike a peace deal over the weekend is set to weigh on market sentiment and lift demand for safe haven assets on Monday.

Bitcoin and Ethereum Price Forecast After Release of First US CPI Print Since US-Iran War

CryptoQuant analyst: If the U.S.-Iran conflict drags on and impacts inflation, the Fed may have no choice but to raise interest rates.

Digital Assets See Modest Gains; US Inflation Data Reinforces High Interest Rate Outlook

US and Iran fail to reach deal after ceasefire, Bitcoin retreats

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