MASK benefits from the overall rebound in market risk appetite and exhibits intense short-term volatility, but shrinking trading volume indicates limited upward momentum. Currently, the $0.56–$0.58 range acts as strong resistance, while $0.51–$0.52 is a key support level. Given macro and regulatory uncertainties, it is recommended to monitor trading volume in the short term, focus on downside risk if the range breaks, and guard against sudden liquidity shocks. Strict stop-losses should be set for dip-buying, and chasing highs should be approached with caution.

Recently, as geopolitical tensions eased, Bitcoin and Ethereum rose about 2% and 3% respectively. The Fear and Greed Index has rebounded from extreme fear to neutral levels, while US-based spot Bitcoin ETFs have seen four consecutive weeks of net inflows exceeding $800 million. Overall risk appetite is rising, providing temporary liquidity support to low-cap tokens. Improved investor risk tolerance helps trigger asset rotation from large-cap to mid- and small-cap coins.

Bitcoin rose 2% to $7,910 and Ethereum 3% to $2,388 amid easing geopolitical tensions, boosting Asian markets with Japan's Nikkei 225 and South Korea's Kospi hitting record highs. The US spot Bitcoin ETF saw $823.7 million net inflows for the fourth consecutive week. The crypto fear and greed index improved from 29 (fear) to 47 (neutral). Analyst Dominick John attributes gains to ETF inflows, technical breakthroughs, and reduced risk aversion.

Analyst: Both the crypto market and Asian stock markets rise amid easing geopolitical tensions.

On the daily chart, a high-volume bullish candle on April 26 pushed the price up to a $0.745 high, followed by a long upper shadow and a retreat to a $0.5635 close. The next two days continued the pullback, testing a low of $0.5137 and returning to a narrow oscillation near $0.52. The current $0.56–$0.58 area forms short-term resistance, while $0.51–$0.52 remains a key support level. Trading volume sharply declined after the high, so it’s important to watch if volume can support another upward push or further test support.

In this week's industry perspective, physical oil supply shortages, critical waterway reopening progress, and DeFi security incidents remind the market of ongoing concerns over real commodity supply chains and protocol security. At the same time, uncertainty over passage of the CLARITY Act will have long-term impacts on the regulatory environment for digital assets. Although short-term sentiment is positive, disturbances from oil supply gaps and regulatory developments remain, and future volatility may intensify. Beware of sudden risk events causing liquidity shocks.

catwifmask

Powell: Changing the easing bias is a form of forward guidance.

Powell: The number of people who see the possibility of both rate hikes and rate cuts as equally likely has increased.

Tony Welch: The Federal Reserve's threshold for raising interest rates remains high, and the economy does not yet show a need for rate cuts.

Brian Jacobsen: Opposition to the Fed will be louder after Waller takes office

Powell: Continued additional actions threaten the Federal Reserve's ability to fulfill its duties

Powell: March PCE inflation rate expected to be 3.5%

Powell: Labor demand has weakened

Powell: High inflation partly due to rising energy prices

Fed leaves rates unchanged at Jerome Powell's final meeting as chairman

Federal funds rate swaps: Expect the probability of the Fed raising interest rates by 25 basis points before April 2027 to reach 50%.

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