CTK benefits from enhanced capital sensitivity in the deleveraging environment and alleviating geopolitical risks; its price has steadily risen since early April, with bullish sentiment dominating the market, although trading volume remains limited and short-term high volatility risk persists. If the current price holds above $0.1820, it may target the $0.190–0.195 resistance zone; if it falls below $0.1750, it will test the $0.168–0.170 support area. Strategy advice: Manage position sizes, follow the trend, watch for trading volume confirmation, increase holdings only after a valid breakout, and stop loss promptly if support breaks.

Recently, Bitcoin futures open interest dropped from $42 billion last October to $21 billion, reflecting a significant decrease in leverage. In a low-leverage environment, even small-scale capital inflows or outflows can amplify price swings, a structural feature transmitted across the entire crypto market. On the CTK contract, intraday volatility has also increased since early April. Although CTK's price did not experience a dramatic plunge, its sensitivity to trading volume heightened in narrow-range oscillations, and the frequency of short-term sentiment-driven price disturbances rose. For short-term capital, this indicates both opportunity and acute volatility risk.

Bitcoin futures open interest has halved from $42 billion in October 2025 to $21 billion, indicating a deep market deleveraging. Current low leverage means even small capital inflows can significantly impact prices. Funding rates have fluctuated sharply between -12% and +7%, showing rapid shifts in market sentiment. Despite ongoing geopolitical tensions, no major liquidations have occurred since early February, reflecting a healthier position structure. Bitcoin awaits a clear directional trend amid heightened market sensitivity.

Analysis: The market has undergone a round of deep deleveraging, and Bitcoin is waiting to choose a direction.

With tensions in the Middle East easing, Bitcoin broke through the $72,000 threshold and even topped $74,000, signaling a significant rebound in risk assets. Enhanced macro risk appetite has reflected on CTK: since April 8, CTK contract prices rose steadily from $0.1696 to close at $0.1820 on April 16, a cumulative gain of over 7.4%. This period featured confidence boosts from institutional accumulation in Bitcoin ETFs, alongside declining US stock and oil prices reducing hedging needs, resulting in overall bullish sentiment. Medium and small capital seized the momentum to enter the CTK market, pushing price structure upward.

Bitcoin surged past $72,000, rising about 3% to approximately $72,300, driven by easing tensions in the Middle East. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu reportedly initiated talks with Lebanon, supported by Trump's call for reduced Israeli military actions to maintain a ceasefire. Bitcoin's 24-hour gain of around 2% outpaced other major cryptocurrencies and coincided with a rebound in U.S. stocks and a drop in oil prices. Bitcoin is increasingly decoupling from tech stocks, influenced more by geopolitical and risk-averse factors.

Analysis: Bitcoin breaks through $72,000, Middle East ceasefire expectations boost market sentiment.

BitMart Research Weekly highlights easing US-Iran tensions and a hawkish shift in the Federal Reserve, driving a rebound in risk assets including crypto. US stocks, especially AI-related sectors, show strong recovery amid geopolitical risks. Inflation data signals potential upward pressure if oil prices stay high. Crypto markets follow US stocks with BTC and ETH leading, while altcoins remain volatile. Institutional inflows into Bitcoin ETFs and MicroStrategy’s increased BTC holdings indicate long-term confidence.

BitMart Research Institute Weekly Hotspot Analysis: US-Iran Easing Combined with Fed's Hawkish Shift, Crypto Market Follows Rebound to Form a Bottom

As mainstream crypto assets approach their 'volatility release point,' negative gamma effects in the derivatives market can amplify price swings. If Bitcoin breaks $75,000, it will trigger more intense turbulence. CTK also made several tentative breakouts over its previous high of $0.1764 between April 14 and 16. Despite a modest surge with higher volume and stabilizing above $0.1820, trading volume did not significantly expand, suggesting bulls may need a stronger catalyst to sustain the trend further. In the short term, a sharp pullback would first test support in the $0.1750–$0.1770 range.

Bitcoin has surpassed a four-week high, rising above $74,000. Analysts identify $75,000 as a critical "volatility release point," where derivative market negative gamma effects may amplify price fluctuations. This level coincides with Bitcoin's 100-day moving average, a key resistance in January. Breaking $75,000 could accelerate an uptrend, while a pullback may increase downward pressure. The $80,000–$80,600 range is a positive gamma zone with lower volatility, and the 200-day moving average at $87,519 serves as a long-term reference.

Analysis: Bitcoin breaks four-week high, key price range may intensify market volatility

On the daily chart, having gone through a narrow-range oscillation at $0.156–$0.162 at the end of March, CTK began a mild uptrend from early April, with several consecutive bullish candles and higher highs and lows forming a bullish setup. Medium- and long-term moving averages have not fully aligned in bullish formation yet, but the current price is close to a one-month high. If sustained above $0.1820, the next major resistance lies in the $0.190–$0.195 area; conversely, breaking below $0.1750 would pull back to the previous $0.168–$0.170 consolidation zone.

Shentu

It’s not a given that the European Central Bank’s next move on interest rates will be a hike, according to Governing Council member Martins Kazaks.

Kazaks: Will not oppose bets on two interest rate hikes this year

Waller: Rapid resolution of the Middle East situation may allow for interest rate cuts later this year.

Waller: Overall PCE inflation year-over-year in March may reach 3.5%

The Federal Reserve's Waller expressed caution regarding interest rates, warning of the risks of prolonged warfare.

Fed's Daly: Rates May Remain Unchanged

Daly: The federal funds rate is slightly above the neutral level of 3%.

UBS Expects 50 bps Fed Rate Cuts as Gov Miran Downplays Inflation Risks

Federal Reserve's Daly: On hold regarding interest rates.

Easing tensions in the Middle East combined with rising expectations of interest rate cuts have pushed gold close to $4,900.

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Shentu Price: CTK Live Price Today | CTK Market Cap & Chart Analysis | Bybit

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CTK price today is 0.19, with a live price change of 2.70 in the last 24 hours. Convert, buy, sell and trade CTK on Bybit.

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