The current recovery in market sentiment provides some support for DEAD token prices, but liquidity bottlenecks significantly amplify short-term volatility and slippage risks. It is recommended to focus on opportunities for short-term entry when market trading volume notably increases and the price breaks through key resistance levels (such as the recent high of 3.20 USDT), while keeping the size of each position within 10% of the pool depth and dynamically adjusting take-profit and stop-loss levels to guard against sudden pullbacks. In the medium to long term, consider gradual accumulation when the price retraces to 2.60 USDT or below, balancing returns and risks appropriately and closely monitoring liquidity changes in the market.

Recently, there have been signs of improvement in overall market sentiment, with bullish activity expected to be further unleashed in the short term. Indicators show that the Bitcoin market has transitioned from a deleveraging phase to a moderate expansion mode, with the Z-score rising and no signs of excessive leverage shocks. This suggests that the current rebound is primarily driven by spot demand, resulting in a healthier upward pattern. For DEAD token, such spot-driven market resilience could provide price support and reduce the risk of sudden drops triggered by liquidations.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfrost noted on January 4 that the cryptocurrency market is beginning to improve, urging caution against dismissing this trend prematurely. While more data is needed for definitive conclusions, some trend changes are starting to emerge, making this a critical time to pay close attention.

Analysis: The crypto market is beginning to improve, with some trend changes gradually becoming apparent.

On the liquidity front, short-term trading activity in the crypto market remains subdued; most contracts see sparse trading within 24 hours, with large funds concentrated in a few leading contracts. In contrast, markets driven by long-term events enjoy stronger liquidity depth. As a small and mid-cap token, DEAD faces a more pronounced liquidity discount, with any large individual trades potentially causing significant price fluctuations. In the current environment, liquidity constraints may prevent DEAD from fully benefiting from overall market rallies, so risks from trading slippage and bid-ask spread should be closely monitored.

PANews analyzed 295,000 historical markets on Polymarket, revealing that 63.16% of short-term markets (under 1 day) had zero transactions in 24 hours. Short-term crypto markets suffer from low liquidity, with sports markets averaging $1.32 million in volume, 30 times higher than crypto's $44,000. A small number of top contracts (505) account for 47% of total volume. Long-term markets (>30 days) have 45 times more liquidity, led by US politics. Geopolitical markets are the fastest-growing segment. Polymarket is polarizing into "high-frequency sports betting" and "macro political hedging," with liquidity concentrated in few top narratives.

PANews data: 63% of the short-term market on Polymarket had 0 transactions in the last 24 hours, with 505 top contracts accounting for 47% of the trading volume.

Taking into account sentiment and liquidity factors, short-term entries can be considered as market sentiment continues to recover, with a focus on opportunities where trading volume expands and price steadily breaks through key resistance levels. However, caution is advised against sharp reversals caused by sudden declines in liquidity. It is recommended to limit the size of single positions within the tolerable range of pool capacity and timely adjust take-profit and stop-loss orders based on order book depth to avoid excessive losses if the price deviates from indicator-supported zones. In the medium to long term, gradual accumulation is suggested when prices retrace to value territory, in alignment with the general expansion trend.

DEAD

The US and Iran’s failure to strike a peace deal over the weekend is set to weigh on market sentiment and lift demand for safe haven assets on Monday.

Bitcoin and Ethereum Price Forecast After Release of First US CPI Print Since US-Iran War

CryptoQuant analyst: If the U.S.-Iran conflict drags on and impacts inflation, the Fed may have no choice but to raise interest rates.

Digital Assets See Modest Gains; US Inflation Data Reinforces High Interest Rate Outlook

US and Iran fail to reach deal after ceasefire, Bitcoin retreats

Digital Assets Gain; Core Inflation Data Surprises to the Downside

The war in Iran has fueled the biggest jump in US inflation in nearly four years and sent consumer sentiment tumbling to a record low. Economists say that’s just the beginning.

Can XRP Break $1.35? Price Shrugs off Energy Spikes as Fresh US Inflation Report Offers Brief Relief

US–Iran talks in Pakistan hand crypto a fragile off-ramp

Trump said that if an agreement is not reached, military strikes against Iran will be intensified.

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