Driven by the improvement in macro sentiment and the resonance of core assets, MVL is currently in a consolidation and bottoming phase within the 0.00126–0.00145 range. In the short term, focus on the feasibility of breaking through the 0.00135 resistance level. If risk appetite continues along with volume support, it is expected to challenge 0.00140 and higher targets; otherwise, under high volatility and liquidity constraints, the range-bound pattern may persist. It is recommended to adopt a range-trading strategy for the medium and short term, dynamically adjusting positions according to market sentiment changes, and pay attention to the linkage signals of Bitcoin's key level breakout.

Recently, the easing of international geopolitical tensions, coupled with the risk-on effect triggered by the Fed’s relatively hawkish tone, has jointly led to a widespread rebound in stocks and crypto assets. Observing the leading performance of Bitcoin and Ethereum, market risk appetite has significantly improved in the short term, and institutional demand for digital asset allocation remains robust. As a small-cap token, MVL is poised for a follow-up rebound under the backdrop of recovering risk appetite, but due to its relatively limited liquidity, it is still subject to increased volatility and a choppy trend.

BitMart Research Weekly highlights easing US-Iran tensions and a hawkish shift in the Federal Reserve, driving a rebound in risk assets including crypto. US stocks, especially AI-related sectors, show strong recovery amid geopolitical risks. Inflation data signals potential upward pressure if oil prices stay high. Crypto markets follow US stocks with BTC and ETH leading, while altcoins remain volatile. Institutional inflows into Bitcoin ETFs and MicroStrategy’s increased BTC holdings indicate long-term confidence.

BitMart Research Institute Weekly Hotspot Analysis: US-Iran Easing Combined with Fed's Hawkish Shift, Crypto Market Follows Rebound to Form a Bottom

Bitcoin price has broken through its four-week high and is closely approaching the resistance area of the 100-day moving average; if this level is breached, it could trigger negative gamma effects in the derivatives market and accelerate the upside movement. The increased resilience of such core assets has a positive transmission effect on the secondary market. In the current sentiment spread, MVL is likely to retest the 0.00135 level in the short term, though caution is needed for short-term pullbacks and position lock-in pressures given the high volatility conditions.

On the daily chart, MVL has repeatedly tested the 0.00126–0.00145 range since mid-March, forming a broad-range choppy structure. The surge with increased volume on April 6 pushed the price up to 0.001477 briefly, but it quickly fell back to the 0.00130–0.00135 zone, and trading volume promptly dropped back to lower levels, showing a tug-of-war between bulls and bears in this range. At present, 0.00128 acts as a short-term support and 0.00135 as the main resistance. If a sustained rebound in core assets or persistent risk appetite leads to a volume-supported breakout at this level, MVL could expand upward space toward 0.00140 and above; otherwise, range-bound consolidation might persist.

ECB policymakers play down April rate hike chances

Declining energy prices have moved the euro-zone economy back toward the European Central Bank’s base case and may mean interest-rate increases aren’t needed, according to Governing Council member Primoz Dolenc.

Fed’s John Williams Signals Support for Holding Rates Steady Ahead of FOMC Meeting

Federal Reserve Governor Milian: Currently, it seems that there may only be three rate cuts remaining for the rest of the year.

Milan: Prefers to cut interest rates 3 times this year, but possibly 4 times.

Latin America: Diverging central bank paths – BNP Paribas

Fed's Williams: If inflation reaches target level, rate cuts are still expected

Federal Reserve's Williams: Now is not the time to provide forward guidance on interest rates.

The ECB meeting minutes show that inflation risks are tilted to the upside.

Trump issues ultimatum to Fed chair as Bitcoin trembles at $75,000. ‘I’ll have to fire him’

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