MUSD is temporarily supported by improving liquidity and arbitrage inflows, with signs of a staged bottom and an increased probability of a technical rebound. It is recommended to pay attention to support around 0.98 and the expansion of trading volume, flexibly seizing short-term entry opportunities. However, there has been no fundamental improvement in medium- to long-term capital outflows; if moving average and trend supports are lost, the risk of continued decline will increase significantly. Strict position control and dynamic stop-loss settings are needed to address potential downward pressure.

The market has entered a phase of internal competition, with capital flows becoming the main driver of short-term price fluctuations. As the USDC/USDT premium indicator shifts from negative to positive, selling pressure within the overall stablecoin system has eased, and liquidity indicators are resonating, unleashing short-term bullish momentum. For MUSD, this rapid switching of capital has signaled a staged bottom, which may usher in a round of technical rebound. Traders should watch for increased trading volume and rebound strength near key support levels to capture favorable short-term entry opportunities.

Although short-term sentiment has improved, from a medium- to long-term perspective, the market as a whole still faces persistent trend-based selling pressure. Capital outflow from peak levels to external markets has not fundamentally reversed; if subsequent liquidity indicators fail or weaken again, MUSD may continue its decline. Investors should monitor the positions of long-term moving averages and trendline support—if these break, further downside risk should be watched with appropriate position control to guard against intensified medium- to long-term corrections.

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