Recently, QTUM has been supported by the warming of market sentiment, continuing its short-term rebound trend. The key resistance is at 1.00 USDT. While upward momentum is currently strong, significant overhead pressure remains. On the downside, attention should be given to the 0.90 USDT and 0.88 USDT support levels; losing these may pose a risk of a pullback. In the medium to long term, the growing popularity of smart contract ecosystems provides allocation opportunities for QTUM, but shifts in macro liquidity and volatility among major cryptocurrencies could trigger synchronized corrections. Investors are advised to monitor capital flows in mainstream assets and critical trading range structure, adjust positions flexibly, and seize structural opportunities.

Recently, strong buying in the Ethereum and Bitcoin derivatives markets has led to a rebound in major assets, driving a recovery in market risk appetite. QTUM rebounded from its April 12 low of 0.8812 USDT, once reaching 0.9411 USDT, with the high point moving significantly above the previous pressure zone of 0.8729 USDT. In terms of capital flows, long-short volume distribution favors buyers, intraday volatility range has narrowed but overall upward momentum remains, indicating that positive short-term sentiment is supporting QTUM's continued rebound.

Market data shows Ethereum buyers are returning, with bulls defending the $2000 support level. Since March 6, Ethereum's aggressive buying volume has remained positive, indicating a recovery in derivatives market demand. The buying pressure dominates at $104 million, marking the first such shift in Ethereum derivatives since the last bear market. Futures open interest nears a historic high, and spot Ethereum ETFs saw a $120 million net inflow, the highest since mid-March.

Analysis: Ethereum's proactive order consumption has remained positive since March, signaling a recovery in the derivatives market.

CryptoQuant's research head stated that the recent rise in Bitcoin and Ethereum is driven mainly by new long positions in perpetual contracts rather than short covering. Following the US-Iran ceasefire announcement, open interest in Bitcoin and Ethereum perpetual contracts increased by $2.1 billion and $2.2 billion respectively, reaching near one-month highs. The buyer dominance and positive Coinbase premium suggest bullish momentum, with Bitcoin's next key target at $79,000 if the ceasefire holds.

CryptoQuant: Bitcoin and Ethereum rally driven by new long positions in perpetual contracts

Bitcoin surged past $72,000, rising about 3% to approximately $72,300, driven by easing tensions in the Middle East. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu reportedly initiated talks with Lebanon, supported by Trump's call for reduced Israeli military actions to maintain a ceasefire. Bitcoin's 24-hour gain of around 2% outpaced other major cryptocurrencies and coincided with a rebound in U.S. stocks and a drop in oil prices. Bitcoin is increasingly decoupling from tech stocks, influenced more by geopolitical and risk-averse factors.

Analysis: Bitcoin breaks through $72,000, Middle East ceasefire expectations boost market sentiment.

From the daily chart, QTUM started to rebound after falling to 0.785 USDT at the end of March. After more than 10 trading days of upward movement, its price is currently in the 0.93–0.95 USDT range. The 1.00 USDT round-number mark and the previous April 3 high of 1.0038 USDT form the primary resistance, while the short-term support at 0.90 USDT has been tested and held. If there is further retracement, 0.88 USDT acts as the secondary defense level. Currently, Bitcoin faces key resistance with short-term profit-taking emerging and the possibility of negative gamma effects in derivatives being released, which could amplify volatility at QTUM's critical price levels. Close attention should be paid to trading volume and changes in institutional positions in this range.

CryptoQuant's research head Julio Moreno warns that Bitcoin's recent price rise faces increasing profit-taking risks, with on-chain indicators showing growing sell pressure. Bitcoin is testing the key "realized price" resistance at $76,800, historically a strong bearish barrier. Large transactions have surged, indicating stronger short-term selling. If Bitcoin stays above $76,000, realized profits may exceed $1 billion daily, intensifying sell-offs and potential price pullbacks.

CryptoQuant: Bitcoin on-chain indicators show increasing selling pressure, rising risk of profit-taking

Bitcoin has surpassed a four-week high, rising above $74,000. Analysts identify $75,000 as a critical "volatility release point," where derivative market negative gamma effects may amplify price fluctuations. This level coincides with Bitcoin's 100-day moving average, a key resistance in January. Breaking $75,000 could accelerate an uptrend, while a pullback may increase downward pressure. The $80,000–$80,600 range is a positive gamma zone with lower volatility, and the 200-day moving average at $87,519 serves as a long-term reference.

Analysis: Bitcoin breaks four-week high, key price range may intensify market volatility

Since March, the ETH/BTC ratio has rebounded to a three-month high of 0.0313, indicating rising market risk appetite and a stronger inclination to allocate to smart contract ecosystem assets. As a public blockchain project, QTUM holds potential value for participating in this ecosystem. If further speculative funds flow into the secondary market, QTUM may share in the medium-long term gains. However, caution is warranted: if macro risk aversion spikes or major assets hit a turning point, profit-taking in both derivatives and spot markets may be released simultaneously, putting pressure on QTUM to retrace. Investors should continuously monitor capital flows and trading structure in Ethereum and Bitcoin to assess QTUM’s safety margin and optimal entry window.

10x Research analysis indicates Bitcoin is approaching a significant breakout, with internal trend models detecting a shift and market sentiment, positions, and capital flow data confirming structural changes. Despite concerns about quantum computing threats emerging around 2030-2035, current technical indicators show constructive momentum and multiple signals suggest a high probability of short-term upward movement. The key question remains if this will lead to a new bull market and all-time highs.

Analysis: Bitcoin may face a critical breakthrough, multiple indicators resonate pointing to an upward window.

Qtum

It’s not a given that the European Central Bank’s next move on interest rates will be a hike, according to Governing Council member Martins Kazaks.

Kazaks: Will not oppose bets on two interest rate hikes this year

Waller: Rapid resolution of the Middle East situation may allow for interest rate cuts later this year.

Waller: Overall PCE inflation year-over-year in March may reach 3.5%

The Federal Reserve's Waller expressed caution regarding interest rates, warning of the risks of prolonged warfare.

Fed's Daly: Rates May Remain Unchanged

Daly: The federal funds rate is slightly above the neutral level of 3%.

UBS Expects 50 bps Fed Rate Cuts as Gov Miran Downplays Inflation Risks

Federal Reserve's Daly: On hold regarding interest rates.

Easing tensions in the Middle East combined with rising expectations of interest rate cuts have pushed gold close to $4,900.

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Qtum Price: QTUM Live Price Today | QTUM Market Cap & Chart Analysis | Bybit

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QTUM price today is 0.96, with a live price change of 2.23 in the last 24 hours. Convert, buy, sell and trade QTUM on Bybit.

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