At the current stage, XUSD demonstrates strong value pegging and resilient liquidity. Driven by a rebound in risk appetite, there is short-term structural selling pressure, but the market’s demand for stablecoin liquidity remains rigid. The peg fluctuation stays within 0.5%, indicating a robust mechanism. Institutions continue large inflows, with active arbitrage and capital rotation, effectively increasing XUSD trading volume. It is recommended to hold steadily, moderately utilize cross-product arbitrage opportunities, monitor capital flows around the $1.00 range, and if the price deviates from the peg range, make short-term adjustments to maintain a liquidity safety margin.

Recently, geopolitical tensions have eased, and unexpectedly, the Fed’s hawkish monetary policy outlook has spurred investors to increase holdings in risk assets, leading to significant rebounds in major assets such as Bitcoin and Ethereum. During the transition from a risk-off to risk-on market environment, some investors reduced stablecoin positions to bolster their crypto asset holdings. On April 15, XUSD briefly dropped to an intraday low of $0.9886; the next day, with capital flowing back into risk assets, its price quickly rebounded to $1.0007, accompanied by trading volume surging from 220,000 to 600,000 contracts, reflecting a clear short-term reversal in demand structure.

BitMart Research Weekly highlights easing US-Iran tensions and a hawkish shift in the Federal Reserve, driving a rebound in risk assets including crypto. US stocks, especially AI-related sectors, show strong recovery amid geopolitical risks. Inflation data signals potential upward pressure if oil prices stay high. Crypto markets follow US stocks with BTC and ETH leading, while altcoins remain volatile. Institutional inflows into Bitcoin ETFs and MicroStrategy’s increased BTC holdings indicate long-term confidence.

BitMart Research Institute Weekly Hotspot Analysis: US-Iran Easing Combined with Fed's Hawkish Shift, Crypto Market Follows Rebound to Form a Bottom

Tech stocks surged, driving the Nasdaq and S&P 500 to record highs amid optimism over easing US-Iran tensions. The Nasdaq rose 1.59% to 24,016.02, and the S&P 500 increased 0.8% to 7,022.95. Bitcoin briefly hit $75,229, up 1.07% in 24 hours and nearly 10% over two weeks. Fundstrat's Tom Lee suggests the next rally may be led by Bitcoin, Ether, and tech stocks.

Analysis: Tech stocks rally drives US stocks to new highs, Bitcoin hits $75,000

Bitcoin ETFs have consistently registered over $500 million in net inflows, significantly enhancing spot buying momentum and driving up derivative market hedging demand. Although XUSD remains within its peg range overall, minor discounts and premiums have occurred during high-frequency arbitrage and hedging trades. Market participants leverage XUSD for cross-product arbitrage across exchanges and rotate stablecoins into spot positions to capture the upside from Bitcoin, driving up XUSD trading frequency and volume in the short term.

Bitcoin has risen 8% in the past two weeks, reaching around $74,000. Max Kahn, CEO of Digital Wealth Partners, identifies three key factors for the next surge: energy-driven inflation trends, Federal Reserve monetary policy expectations favoring easing if inflation is controlled, and continued institutional inflows, with Bitcoin ETFs recording $523 million net inflow in April, extending strong momentum since March.

Analysis: Bitcoin "Fear Has Receded," Three Major Catalysts Support Price Surge to $75,000

Bitcoin price nears $75,000, driven by improved risk sentiment and easing geopolitical tensions, rising about 13% since the Iran conflict began on February 28, outperforming the S&P 500 and gold. Options market data shows reduced bearish pressure, while CoinShares reports a $1.1 billion net inflow into crypto investment products last week, with $786 million into US spot Bitcoin ETFs. ETF inflows and institutional demand are key drivers, though inflation, Fed policy, and geopolitical changes may impact future trends.

Analysis: Bitcoin Approaches $75,000, ETF Inflows Reach New Yearly High

Since April, XUSD has fluctuated within a narrow range of less than 0.5% around $1, reflecting the robustness of its peg mechanism. Ethereum network users and transaction volumes continue to climb, and stablecoin supply now makes up 60% of the global market, demonstrating the ongoing rigid demand for stablecoins' liquidity and hedging functions. Although the Fed’s hawkish signals and inflation expectations will impact market funding costs, comprehensive reserve assets and automated pegging mechanisms will continue to support XUSD’s value stability over the mid- to long-term.

In Q1 2026, the Ethereum to Bitcoin price ratio (ETH/BTC) rebounded to 0.0313, a three-month high, indicating a recovery in the crypto market. Ethereum network users grew 82% year-on-year to 284,000, with transaction volume reaching 200.4 million. Stablecoin supply exceeded $180 billion, about 60% of the global market. Analysts suggest that if ETH/BTC closes above 0.035 weekly, it signals continued inflows into Ethereum and high-risk assets. Bitcoin remains above $74,000, supported by over $56 billion inflows into US spot Bitcoin ETFs.

Analysis: Ethereum-Bitcoin price ratio rebounds, overall crypto market recovers

StraitsX XUSD

It’s not a given that the European Central Bank’s next move on interest rates will be a hike, according to Governing Council member Martins Kazaks.

Kazaks: Will not oppose bets on two interest rate hikes this year

Waller: Rapid resolution of the Middle East situation may allow for interest rate cuts later this year.

Waller: Overall PCE inflation year-over-year in March may reach 3.5%

The Federal Reserve's Waller expressed caution regarding interest rates, warning of the risks of prolonged warfare.

Fed's Daly: Rates May Remain Unchanged

Daly: The federal funds rate is slightly above the neutral level of 3%.

UBS Expects 50 bps Fed Rate Cuts as Gov Miran Downplays Inflation Risks

Federal Reserve's Daly: On hold regarding interest rates.

Easing tensions in the Middle East combined with rising expectations of interest rate cuts have pushed gold close to $4,900.

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StraitsX XUSD Price: XUSD Live Price Today | XUSD Market Cap & Chart Analysis | Bybit

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