Currently, TOKEN is boosted by market sentiment and continues to show bullish momentum above the $0.00250 support zone in the short term. If it effectively breaks through and holds above the $0.00280–$0.00290 area, this could open further upside potential. However, significant bearish pressure in the derivatives market, combined with a reversal in funding rates, indicates a need for caution regarding corrective pullbacks in a highly volatile environment. In the medium to long term, tokens with transparent revenue and compliant governance are more likely to attract capital. It is advisable to balance market cap flexibility with risk exposure, manage positions in the short term, and focus on high-quality Token projects with fundamental strengths.

Recently, Bitcoin has consecutively posted four weekly highs, with the current price pushing above $74,000 and approaching the key $75,000 resistance level, potentially intensifying market volatility due to the negative Gamma effect. At the same time, utility tokens represented by DeXe are receiving inflows on the spot side, but selling pressure in derivatives continues to rise, as evidenced by declining Taker Buy/Sell ratios and negative funding rates—reflecting a divergence between bullish and bearish forces. Against this backdrop, while small and mid-cap tokens receive short-term sentiment boosts, caution is warranted regarding potential correction pressures from the derivatives side.

Bitcoin has surpassed a four-week high, rising above $74,000. Analysts identify $75,000 as a critical "volatility release point," where price fluctuations may intensify due to negative gamma effects in the derivatives market. This level coincides with Bitcoin's 100-day moving average, previously a major resistance in January. Breaking above $75,000 could accelerate the uptrend, while a decline may increase downward pressure. The $80,000–$80,600 range marks a positive gamma zone with lower volatility, and the 200-day moving average at $87,519 serves as a long-term reference.

Analysis: Bitcoin breaks through a four-week high, key price range may intensify market volatility

Bitcoin has surpassed a four-week high, rising above $74,000. Analysts identify $75,000 as a critical "volatility release point," where derivative market negative gamma effects may amplify price fluctuations. This level coincides with Bitcoin's 100-day moving average, a key resistance in January. Breaking $75,000 could accelerate an uptrend, while a pullback may increase downward pressure. The $80,000–$80,600 range is a positive gamma zone with lower volatility, and the 200-day moving average at $87,519 serves as a long-term reference.

Analysis: Bitcoin breaks four-week high, key price range may intensify market volatility

DeXe’s token has surged 570% since February 6, driven by strong spot market momentum and inflows into utility-focused tokens. However, Binance traders are increasingly taking bearish positions in the derivatives market, with a low Taker Buy/Sell Ratio and a negative funding rate indicating rising sell-side pressure. This divergence suggests the rally may be nearing exhaustion, posing risks to the sustainability of DeXe’s price gains.

DEXE rallies 570% – So why are Binance traders betting against it?

Stablecoin public chains are accelerating toward tokenization in terms of governance and incentive mechanisms, with leading industry players already conducting feasibility studies on PoS token issuance. In addition, venture capital institutions are showing less reliance on traditional Token exit strategies, shifting investment focus to projects with real on-chain revenue sources. Meanwhile, industry transparency assessments show that while most protocols can generate traceable revenue, less than 20% regularly disclose information or provide reports to holders. Thus, the market’s demand for proactive value capture and transparent governance is growing stronger. These trends are expected to provide long-term value support for tokens with compliant disclosure and strong community governance.

Circle founder and CEO Jeremy Allaire announced at a Seoul event that Circle is considering issuing a token for its stablecoin payment public chain, Arc Network. The token aims to align governance, incentives, and economic interests, with a gradual shift to a PoS system. Further details will be revealed soon.

Circle's founder confirmed that Arc Network will issue tokens, and more details will be disclosed later.

Crypto venture capital is at a crossroads as the traditional token exit model loses effectiveness amid market shifts. The rise of projects with real on-chain revenue, meme coin supply surges, and alternative risk assets have compressed token returns and renewed interest in equity investments. Crypto VCs now face competition from traditional fintech funds and must redefine their value beyond capital, focusing on brand identity and tangible support to remain relevant in a changing landscape.

Is Crypto VC Dead? The Market Elimination Cycle Has Already Begun

On the daily chart, TOKEN repeatedly tested the $0.00235–$0.00240 range in early April, then saw two weeks of improving volume, and on the 16th, broke out with increased trading volume above the $0.00260 neckline resistance. Currently, it faces resistance in the $0.00270–$0.00280 region. From a technical perspective, maintaining support at $0.00250 would allow for a continuation of bullish momentum to challenge the $0.00280–$0.00290 zone in the short term; losing $0.00250 support, however, could lead to further pullback toward the $0.00240 level. In light of current Bitcoin and broader market sentiment, TOKEN’s short-term outlook is mainly bullish, but attention should be paid to the downside risks from volatility in the derivatives market.

TokenFi

Fed's Daly: Rates May Remain Unchanged

Daly: The federal funds rate is slightly above the neutral level of 3%.

UBS Expects 50 bps Fed Rate Cuts as Gov Miran Downplays Inflation Risks

Federal Reserve's Daly: On hold regarding interest rates.

Easing tensions in the Middle East combined with rising expectations of interest rate cuts have pushed gold close to $4,900.

The reopening of the Strait of Hormuz boosts the crypto market, with Bitcoin breaking through $77,000 and major altcoins rising in sync.

The probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut in June has risen to 7.1%, while the probability of maintaining the current rate stands at 92.4%.

Fed rate cut expectations heat up, probability of a June rate cut rises to 7.1%

The market expects the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by December to be approximately 60%.

European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde said dangers to the region’s price outlook are skewed to the upside as officials continue to assess the economic damage being wrought by the Iran conflict.

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