Driven by capital flows and a rebound in liquidity, USD0 has a technical basis for a short-term rebound. It is recommended to focus on swing trading opportunities within the bottom shock zone (such as the key support range of 0.995-1.005). However, the medium to long-term fundamentals lack positive catalysts; the main market structure remains under pressure. Risks from capital fluctuations and trend-driven selling have not been resolved. High vigilance is required; heavy positions are not advised, and strict position and stop-loss management is recommended.

Recently, within the competitive market landscape, both capital flow indicators and stablecoin premium indicators have rebounded in tandem, signaling an accumulation of speculative bottom-fishing demand. The USDC/USDT premium turning positive suggests increased buying interest in stablecoins, which reduces direct selling pressure on BTC/USDT and may lead to a technical rebound in overall crypto assets in the short term. In addition, the alleviation of liquidity tightening and the slight recovery in trading depth indicate a shift towards cautious optimism among short-term investors, who may attempt long positions gradually in the current shock bottom zone.

Although liquidity and premium indicators provide some support in the short term, the market still lacks new fundamental catalysts and signals for a dominant trend shift in the medium to long term. The potential risk of capital shifting from long to short positions remains. Further weakening of liquidity indicators could trigger another round of trend-driven selling pressure. Additionally, intensified internal competition and alternating liquidity volatility make it difficult to sustain an upward trend. Investors need to remain alert to the downward price pressure caused by overall market capital withdrawal. Flexible positioning within the shock range and strict control of positions and stop-losses are advised.

Usual USD

ECB policymakers play down April rate hike chances

Declining energy prices have moved the euro-zone economy back toward the European Central Bank’s base case and may mean interest-rate increases aren’t needed, according to Governing Council member Primoz Dolenc.

Fed’s John Williams Signals Support for Holding Rates Steady Ahead of FOMC Meeting

Federal Reserve Governor Milian: Currently, it seems that there may only be three rate cuts remaining for the rest of the year.

Milan: Prefers to cut interest rates 3 times this year, but possibly 4 times.

Latin America: Diverging central bank paths – BNP Paribas

Fed's Williams: If inflation reaches target level, rate cuts are still expected

Federal Reserve's Williams: Now is not the time to provide forward guidance on interest rates.

The ECB meeting minutes show that inflation risks are tilted to the upside.

Trump issues ultimatum to Fed chair as Bitcoin trembles at $75,000. ‘I’ll have to fire him’

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USD0 price today is 1.00, with a live price change of -0.02 in the last 24 hours. Convert, buy, sell and trade USD0 on Bybit.

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